MAAC homeDC Multimodal Accessibility Advisory Council

A briefing for the people writing Washington's Downtown Transportation Plan

Through-traffic doesn't belong downtown.

A downtown is for the people going to it. Cars driving across it to get somewhere else bring noise, crashes and long crossings, and leave nothing behind. Every city centre that pushed that traffic out onto the ring got busier on foot, and several did better business. Washington's downtown, with one office in five empty, needs exactly that.

Today · 4 in 10 cars on downtown streets are passing through

Cars cutting across the centre0People on the street0(live count in this model)
passing throughgoing downtown; the driver parks and walks inpeoplebus; it stops for ridersbikefilter: bollards or a planter; cars turn back, buses, bikes and walkers pass

4 in 10

Much of the traffic downtown was never going downtown.

Before Ghent redrew its centre in 2017, the city counted the cars and found that nearly 40 percent of them had no destination inside it. Groningen made the same discovery in 1977: when it blocked the shortcut, car traffic in the centre fell by almost half, while the share of people who drove to the centre barely moved. The cars that vanished were the ones passing through.

Stad Gent, The Circulation Plan; Tsubohara, University of Groningen, on the 1977 plan.

beforeafter
Groningen, 1977: what left when the shortcut closed Cars in the centre, per hour −47% Trips into the centre made by car 36% 34% 0top bar indexed to its 1976 level
Hourly private-car counts in the inner city fell 47 percent after the plan; the car share of trips ending in the centre went from 36 to 34 percent.

23%

Downtown Washington needs people who stop.

Nearly one office in four downtown stood empty at the end of 2025, twice the rate of the decade before the pandemic. Office attendance is about half what it was. The District's answer is to make downtown a place people live: 15,000 new residents by 2028, most of them in converted office buildings. The downtown BID now dates that goal to 2033 and says that even if every announced conversion is built, the count reaches about 40 percent of it. Residents, shoppers and diners are the customers now. The cars crossing downtown on Constitution Avenue at 5 pm carry none of them.

DowntownDC BID, State of Downtown 2025; Mayor's Comeback Plan, January 2023.

Downtown DC office vacancy 0% 10% 20% 30% 11%, the 2010 to 2018 average 16.3% 22.9% 2019 2021 2023 2025
Year-end vacancy inside the DowntownDC BID boundary, CoStar data as reported in State of Downtown 2025. Trophy buildings sit at 11 percent, Class A at 24.

+20%

Take the cars out of the centre and the shops do better.

Ghent redrew its centre in April 2017. The city's evaluation a year later counted new shops and restaurants in the central postcode up 20 percent, closures and bankruptcies down 7 percent, and the centre growing faster than the rest of the city. Madrid saw the same thing when it closed its centre to through-traffic in late 2018: card spending that Christmas rose 8.6 percent inside the zone against 3.3 percent in the rest of the city.

Stad Gent and Transport & Mobility Leuven, Evaluatie Circulatieplan Gent, 2019; Ayuntamiento de Madrid analysis of 20 million BBVA card transactions, January 2019. Madrid's retail lobby disputed the city's figure with a survey of its members.

Ghent's centre, the year after through-traffic ended New shops and restaurants +20% Closures and bankruptcies −7% Cyclists to and from the centre +60% Cars in and out of the centre −17% 0
Business figures are 2018 versus 2017 for postcode 9000, from Graydon company data; traffic counts are the cordon counts in the same evaluation.

+43%

Oslo cleared the parking and people stayed longer.

Since 2016 Oslo has removed about 760 street parking spaces inside its inner ring, most of them in 2017 and 2018, and filled the space with benches, bike lanes and terraces. Traffic in the centre fell. Pedestrian counts rose 14 percent, and the number of people sitting, standing and lingering in the central squares rose 43 percent. In 2019 not one pedestrian or cyclist died on an Oslo street.

Sweco for Oslo kommune, Bylivsevaluering 2019. The same evaluation found shop turnover in the centre grew at the same pace as the rest of Oslo in 2018.

Oslo city centre, 2017 to 2019 People lingering in the squares +43% People walking +14% Cars −11% 0
Pedestrian and stay counts at the same points, 2017 versus 2019. Car counts compare November 2016 with November 2018.

3 of 4

Downtown streets are mostly for the cars passing through.

Measured across the whole streetscape, more than three-quarters of New York's street space is travel lane or parking. Sidewalks get less than a quarter. Paris gives half its public space to motor vehicles that carry 13 percent of its trips. Washington has not published the split for its own downtown, but the counts say what the lanes are for: 120,000 vehicles a day pass under the Mall in the I-395 tunnel, and 29,500 cross downtown on Constitution Avenue between 12th and 14th.

Transportation Alternatives, NYC 25x25 (2021); Le Monde on Paris public space (2016); DDOT 2024 traffic volume counts.

travel lanesparkingsidewalks
New York City street space, lanes, parking and sidewalks 54% 21% 24% travel lanes parking sidewalks bike lanes: under 1%
Share of the total streetscape area: vehicle travel lanes 54.2 percent, on-street parking 21.1 percent, sidewalks 23.7 percent, bike lanes 0.9 percent.

$2.8B

Widen a downtown lane and it fills.

Houston widened one freeway to 23 lanes. Between 2011 and 2014, three to six years after the work finished, the evening commute on it grew 55 percent, about 23 minutes. The best study of American cities finds the same thing: add road and driving grows to fill it. A lane kept open across downtown so commuters can save two minutes recruits more commuters, and the two minutes are gone within a few years.

Houston TranStar via City Observatory, 2015; Duranton and Turner, American Economic Review, 2011.

Houston's evening commute after the widening 2011 2011 commute 2014 +55% 0 indexed to the 2011 evening commute
Houston TranStar travel times reported by City Observatory: the afternoon commute grew 23 minutes, or 55 percent, from 2011 to 2014. The Katy Freeway widening finished in 2008.

51 of 70

Close the lane and some of the traffic just stops.

Seventy cases from eleven countries where road space was closed or removed, many of them in city centres. In 51 of them traffic fell, and the surrounding streets did not absorb it. A typical tenth of the cars were never replaced. People changed when, how, or whether they made the trip. Local papers predicted traffic chaos. It rarely came.

Cairns, Atkins and Goodwin, 2002. Median reduction 11 percent, average 22 percent.

What traffic did after road space was removed Traffic fell51 No clear change8 Traffic rose11 070 cases
Times Square in 2009 is one of the later cases of the same kind.

8 to 4

Washington has already found the spare road.

When the block of Pennsylvania Avenue in front of the White House closed in 1995, the avenue stopped working as a route across downtown. DDOT's own 2018 study found that drivers now use it for a few blocks and turn off, leaving "excess capacity and an opportunity to repurpose roadway space." This spring the National Capital Planning Commission put out three designs that cut the avenue from eight lanes to four between 3rd and 13th Street. Take the through-route away and the lanes were never needed.

DDOT and NCPC, Pennsylvania Avenue East of the White House Transportation Study, 2018; NCPC design concepts, April 2026.

Pennsylvania Avenue NW, 3rd to 13th Street Today 8 lanes Proposed 4 lanes, 2 curb zones wider sidewalk travel and turn lanes loading, seating
Schematic of the lane count in NCPC's April 2026 concepts, not a measured cross-section. Green is sidewalk, dark is travel lane, gold is curbside loading and seating.

Eight city centres that put through-traffic on the ring.

None of them banned cars. Every address in the centre stayed reachable for deliveries, residents and visitors. What ended was driving across the centre to get somewhere else.

What the redesigns already did here.

Washington and Oslo are cities of about 700,000 people. Traffic deaths in a year:

Washington, 2023

and again in 2024

52

The most since 2007, nine years into a promise to reach zero.

Washington, 2025

the lowest in twelve years

25

DDOT credited road redesigns and camera enforcement. The largest percentage drop of any state in the federal preliminary count.

Oslo, 2019

two years into the car-free centre

1

A driver who hit a fence. No pedestrian and no cyclist died.

Roughly two of every three people who work in Washington live outside it, and most of the cars on downtown streets at rush hour are theirs. Downtown's new customers, the residents the Comeback Plan is counting on, are the people those cars drive past.

MPD traffic fatality counts as of 11 September 2026; Statens vegvesen, Oslo 2019; US Census commuting flows, 2016 to 2020: 36 percent of DC workers live in DC.

What the plan can borrow, in order.

Keep every address reachable. End the crossing.

Divide downtown into a few cells. Cars enter any cell from the ring and the freeway and leave the way they came. The tool is a filter: a row of bollards or a planter where a street crosses the cell line, with a gap for buses, bikes and walkers. Deliveries, residents, garages and visitors lose nothing. The trip across downtown loses its reason to exist.

Groningen 1977, Ghent 2017, Paris 2024

Give the freed lanes to the people who stop.

Pennsylvania Avenue is going from eight lanes to four. K Street, Constitution and Independence carry the same kind of traffic. The spare lanes are bus lanes, loading zones, terraces and wider sidewalks for the residents the plan wants to attract. On London streets rebuilt this way, retail vacancy fell 17 percent.

Oslo 2017 to 2019, London 2018 study

Run it as a six-month trial and count.

Copenhagen and New York both began with a temporary closure their merchants doubted. The counts settled the argument, and the trial was made permanent.

Copenhagen 1962, New York 2009

Sources

  1. Stad Gent. The Circulation Plan; CIHT (2018), Learning from Ghent; alderman Filip Watteeuw's preference votes, 3,270 in 2012 and about 13,000 in 2018, nl.wikipedia; Stad Gent first evaluation (2018).
  2. Tsubohara, S. The effect and modification of the Traffic Circulation Plan (VCP), Groningen, University of Groningen; BicycleDutch (2016) on the cycling share.
  3. DowntownDC BID (May 2026). State of Downtown 2025; State of Downtown 2024 release.
  4. Executive Office of the Mayor (9 Jan 2023). DC's Comeback Plan; DMPED, Housing in Downtown program.
  5. NYC DOT (January 2010). Green Light for Midtown evaluation report.
  6. Stad Gent and Transport & Mobility Leuven (May 2019). Evaluatie Circulatieplan Gent, tweede periode, sections 3.4.1 and 3.4.3.
  7. Madrid Central: elDiario.es (21 Jan 2019) on the Ayuntamiento de Madrid analysis of BBVA card data.
  8. Transport for London (16 Nov 2018). New research on walking, cycling and high streets, UCL Street Appeal study.
  9. Sweco for Oslo kommune (2019). Bylivsevaluering 2019, sluttrapport; Oslo kommune, Bilfritt byliv 2016 to 2023; Statens vegvesen (30 Dec 2019), one traffic death in Oslo in 2019 (archived); Oslo kommune, A step towards the city centre of the future: car-free liveability 2017 to 2019 (traffic down 11 percent, November 2016 to November 2018).
  10. Transportation Alternatives (2021). NYC 25x25, methodology. Paris public space: Le Monde (30 Nov 2016) via Caradisiac.
  11. DDOT. 2024 Traffic Volume, Open Data DC: I-395 under the Mall 120,867; Constitution Ave NW between 12th and 14th 29,549; K St NW at 16th to 17th 19,252 vehicles a day.
  12. City Observatory (2015). Reducing congestion: Katy didn't. Duranton, G. and Turner, M. (2011). The Fundamental Law of Road Congestion, American Economic Review.
  13. Cairns, S., Atkins, S. and Goodwin, P. (2002). Disappearing traffic? The story so far.
  14. DDOT and NCPC (March 2018). Pennsylvania Avenue East of the White House Transportation Study; NCPC (21 Apr 2026), three design concepts released; lane counts per WJLA (3 Apr 2026).
  15. Copenhagen: Gehl, J. (2010), Cities for People (car-free area 15,800 to 99,780 square metres, 1962 to 2005); merchants' fears per Wikipedia, Strøget; Project for Public Spaces, How to revitalize a city, from Gehl et al., New City Life (2006).
  16. Seoul: Landscape Performance Series, Cheonggyecheon.
  17. Leuven: VRT NWS (27 Aug 2026), ten years of the circulation plan.
  18. Paris: Ville de Paris, Bilan des déplacements 2023; Arrêté 2024P16495 creating the central limited-traffic zone.
  19. Washington deaths: MPD traffic data; NBC4 (26 Aug 2025); NHTSA, Early Estimate of Motor Vehicle Traffic Fatalities in 2025 (DC down 46.8 percent, the largest decrease in the state table). Commuting: US Census, county-to-county commuting flows, ACS 2016 to 2020.
  20. Downtown recovery context: Chapple et al., School of Cities, The death of downtown? (2023): downtowns with diverse uses recovered best, office-only downtowns worst.